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ABSTRACT Ecological stability plays a crucial role in determining the sustainability of ecosystem functioning and nature's contribution to people. Although the disruptive effects of extreme drought on ecosystem structure and functions are widely recognized, their effect on the stability of above‐ and belowground productivity remains understudied. We assessed the effects of drought on ecosystem stability using a 3‐year drought experiment established in six Eurasian steppe grasslands. The treatments imposed included ambient precipitation, chronic drought (66% reduction in precipitation throughout the growing season), and intense drought (complete exclusion of precipitation for two months during the growing season). We found that drought, irrespective of how it was imposed, reduced the stability of aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) but had little impact on belowground net primary productivity (BNPP) stability. Reduced ANPP stability under drought was primarily attributed to changes in subordinate species stability, with mean annual precipitation (MAP) and its variability, historical drought frequency, and the aridity index (AI) also influencing responses to extreme drought. In contrast, BNPP stability was not related to any community factor investigated, but it was influenced by MAP variability and AI. Our findings that above‐ and belowground productivity stability in grasslands are differentially sensitive to multi‐year extreme drought under both common (MAP and AI) as well as unique drivers (plant community changes) highlight the complexity of predicting carbon cycle dynamics as hydrological extremes become more severe. 

Abstract Ecosystem stability is essential to its sustainable functions and services to humanity. Although climate warming is projected to vary from 1 to 5°C by the end of 21st century, how the temporal stability of plant community biomass production responds to different warming scenarios remains unclear.To fill this knowledge gap, we conducted a 6‐year field experiment with three levels of warming treatments (control, +1.5°C, +2.5°C) by using infrared radiators, in an alpine meadow on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau.We found that low‐level warming (+1.5°C), compared to the control, did not significantly change the temporal stability of plant community biomass production and its underlying causes, including species diversity, compensatory dynamics, mean–variance scaling, biomass temporal stability of plant population (the average of temporal stability of species biomass production of all species in the community) or dominant species. However, high‐level warming (+2.5°C) significantly reduced them. Species diversity was not a significant predictor of temporal stability of plant community biomass production in this species‐rich ecosystem, regardless of the magnitude of warming, while co‐existing species compensatory dynamics and the biomass temporal stability of dominant species determined the response of temporal stability of plant community biomass production to warming.Synthesis. Our results suggest that the responses of plant community biomass temporal stability and its underlying mechanisms to climate warming depend on warming magnitudes. The findings highlight the various responses of ecosystem functions and services to different warming scenarios and imply that ecosystem will fail to maintain and provide stable biomass‐related services for humanity under high‐level climate warming.